Democrats set to lose control of Senate in 2022, poll finds
Democrats could be on their way to losing control of the Senate in the 2022 midterm election after just two years in the majority, as polls show close races for key senators.
The party’s Senate majority currently depends on Vice President Kamala Harris, who has a casting vote in the chamber in which Democrats and Republicans are split 50-50.
A single loss to the Republicans in 2022 would return the Senate to the GOP and a new poll shows Nevada Senator Catherine Cortez Masto could be vulnerable next year.
An internal poll by Cortez Masto’s Republican opponent, Adam Laxalt, conducted September 11-15, shows Laxalt leads Cortez Masto from 39% to 37%.
The poll showed that 12 percent of respondents were undecided and 12 percent chose “none of the above”. It is an option in Nevada racing.
The poll was conducted by WPA Intelligence Republican pollster Chris Wilson among 504 likely voters and has a 4.4 percent margin of error.
FiveThirtyEight poll tracking gives WPA Intelligence a B / C rating.
“September’s internal polls show that it quickly became a very close race,” a Laxalt campaign poll note said. “With each passing day of the Biden presidency, the environment improves for Republicans.”
A VCreek / AMG poll conducted August 9-14 showed Laxalt beating Cortez Masto by a 10-point margin. The sample size was 567 registered voters with a margin of error of 4.11%. Its FiveThirtyEight rating is B / C.
Cortez Masto isn’t the only Democratic incumbent who appears vulnerable. Senator Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire could also face an uphill battle.
A Saint Anselm College poll conducted between August 24 and 26 showed Republican Chris Sununu beat Hassan 49% to 48%. This poll surveyed 1,855 registered voters and had a margin of error of 2.3%. Saint Anselm College has an A / B rating from FiveThirtyEight.
Another Democrat facing a potentially tight race is Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia, who defeated GOP incumbent Kelly Loeffler in a special election in January.
Former NFL player Herschel Walker is running as a Republican candidate against Warnock and has won backing from former President Donald Trump.
A Public Policy Polling (PPP) poll from August 4 to 5 showed Warnock beat Walker by just two points. It was conducted with 622 voters and had a 3.9% margin of error. PPP received an A- rating from FiveThirtyEight.
While the most recent poll may paint a grim picture for Democrats, gains are still possible in 2022. There are vacant Senate seats in North Carolina and Pennsylvania, where Republican incumbents are retiring. Both are considered mid-point battlefield states.
Battle in Wisconsin
One race to watch will be the one in Wisconsin, where incumbent Republican Senator Ron Johnson has yet to announce whether he will run for another term.
If he chooses to run, he could find himself in a tough race as a Clarity Campaign Labs poll from Sept. 8-11 showed him tied with potential Democratic nominee Mandela Barnes, who is the lieutenant governor of the United States. State.
The poll was conducted among 756 probable voters with a 3.6% margin of error and FiveThirtyEight gives the pollster a B / C rating.
If Johnson decides not to run, Democrats will likely heavily target the open Senate seat.