Democratic Candidate – Shaughnessy For Congress http://shaughnessyforcongress.com/ Fri, 17 Sep 2021 22:14:09 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=5.8 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/icon-4.png Democratic Candidate – Shaughnessy For Congress http://shaughnessyforcongress.com/ 32 32 Walter ready for Nolan’s challenge in Westchester’s most competitive BOL race https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/walter-ready-for-nolans-challenge-in-westchesters-most-competitive-bol-race/ https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/walter-ready-for-nolans-challenge-in-westchesters-most-competitive-bol-race/#respond Fri, 17 Sep 2021 20:46:52 +0000 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/walter-ready-for-nolans-challenge-in-westchesters-most-competitive-bol-race/ County Legislator Ruth Walter, Ward 15 Republican Challenger BOL District 15, James Nolan Can the GOP reclaim seats? Will Democrats Sweep All 17? By Dan Murphy All 17 seats on the Westchester County Council of Legislators are eligible for re-election on Nov. 2, but only a handful are opposed, let alone competitive. Many Westchester residents […]]]>
County Legislator Ruth Walter, Ward 15
Republican Challenger BOL District 15, James Nolan

Can the GOP reclaim seats? Will Democrats Sweep All 17?

By Dan Murphy

All 17 seats on the Westchester County Council of Legislators are eligible for re-election on Nov. 2, but only a handful are opposed, let alone competitive. Many Westchester residents and voters may not realize that Democrats currently hold a 16-1 qualified majority on the county board.

The 17 county BOL elections can be conducted in three different ways. Democrats can retain their massive 16-1 qualified majority, or Republicans can win a seat or two, or the “blue wave” of progressive-indivisible Democratic support in Westchester will continue, and Democrats will win every county office and every county. sits on the Departmental Council in 2021.

Westchester Republicans are fielding candidates in 7 of 17 BOL seats across the county. They are:

District 1 (parts of Cortlandt, Yorktown and Peekskill). Democratic lawmaker Colin Smith is running against Republican Joe Torres. Smith is completing his first two-year term on the county board. Before Smith, Republican John Testa held the seat for more than a decade. But since Testa’s departure, the area has become more democratic, and many now see it as a solid D. But Torres is campaigning.

District 2- (Bedford, Lewisboro, Mount Kisco, North Salem, Pound Ridge, part of Somers). Democratic lawmaker Kitley Covill is running against Republican Gina Arena. Covill was elected in 2017, the year of the first Democratic Blue Wave in Westchester, when George Latimer defeated Rob Astorino for the county executive by 18 points, and a backlash against then-President Donald Trump, pushed many Democrats to victory. Kovill beat Republican lawmaker Francis Corcoran by 10 points in 2017. Arena is campaigning actively.

District 3 (Mount Pleasant, North Castle and parts of Greenburgh and Ossining) Lawmaker Margaret Cunzio is the only non-Democrat on County Council. She won the 2017 election as a registered conservative and served with her fellow Democrat in a bipartisan and productive manner. David Vinjamuri is the Democratic candidate, who actively campaigns and has the support of Indivisible Westchester. It’s a race all political eyes will be on election night. If Cunzio loses it will likely be a democratic sweep across the board in Westchester.

District 4 (New Castle, parts of Somers and Yorktown). Democratic lawmaker Vedat Gashi is running against Republican Robert Brower. Gashi was elected in 2019 after the retirement of longtime lawmaker Michael Kaplowitz. Kaplowitz was a moderate Democrat who joined Republicans on County Council and then County Executive Rob Astorino to form a coalition government. That’s why some Republicans are hopeful, and some Democrats worried, about this race. Heavy Republican participation in Yorktown’s local run for city council could also have an impact on that run. It may be one to watch.

District 9 (parts of Cortlandt, Ossining and Peekskill). Democratic lawmaker Catherine Borgia is running against Republican Charles Braue. Borgia has been a member of BOL since 2012, and she has easily defeated each of her Republican opponents every two years.

District 10- (Parts of Eastchester and New Rochelle). Democratic lawmaker Damon Maher is running against Republican Anthony Giacobbe. Maher won the election in 2017, defeating Republican lawmaker Sheila Marcotte, and he was easily re-elected in 2019. Maher, one of the more outspoken and progressive members of the county council, is also well known and active in his district. This neighborhood has seemed to quickly change Democrats over the past four years, giving Giacobbe, who is also active and speaks out on the issues of the day, a steep climb to victory.

District 15 (parts of Yonkers and Bronxville). Democratic lawmaker Ruth Walter is running against Republican James Nolan. This race is identified by both sides as the most competitive in 2021. Walter narrowly beat Republican lawmaker Gordon Burrows in 2019, having narrowly lost to Burrows in 2017.
Walter, a small businesswoman from Bronxville, has worked for the past 2 years to reach her constituents in the East Yonkers part of the district. But with COVID keeping most of us at home since the spring of 2020, Walter continues to get her message across about what she’s done for residents and voters across the district.
James Nolan is from Yonkers and is making his first candidacy. His call to public service grew out of his activism after the death of his brother, Oakland A baseball star Michael Nolan, who was shot and killed in Yonkers in 2015.
James Nolan has worked on issues related to gun violence and drag racing through the Michael Nolan Foundation. He also volunteered in many community outreach programs in Yonkers during the pandemic. Most importantly, he actively campaigns in Yonkers.
Walter is up to the challenge and is proud to run on his record. “I have a record of accomplishments that I am proud to present and look forward to sharing with voters. Yonkers and my entire district have been well served over the past 18 months, ”said Walter.
The problem Nolan and all of the Republican nominees face is that County Executive George Latimer tops the table. Latimer, a popular Democrat, is running against Republican Christine Sculti for re-election, and could also help Democratic county council candidates on the ballot.
The unknown in BOL races and the 2021 election is turnout. With residents of Westchester having issues like COVID, back to school and flooding on their minds, and without a race for the governor or president to increase turnout, no one knows what the total votes will look like. More information on the Westchester 2021 elections in the coming weeks. Send your letters to dmurphy@risingmediagroup.com>


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If reproductive choice matters in Ohio, I’m the right candidate for the U.S. Senate at the right time: Morgan Harper https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/if-reproductive-choice-matters-in-ohio-im-the-right-candidate-for-the-u-s-senate-at-the-right-time-morgan-harper/ https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/if-reproductive-choice-matters-in-ohio-im-the-right-candidate-for-the-u-s-senate-at-the-right-time-morgan-harper/#respond Fri, 17 Sep 2021 09:39:38 +0000 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/if-reproductive-choice-matters-in-ohio-im-the-right-candidate-for-the-u-s-senate-at-the-right-time-morgan-harper/ COLUMBUS, Ohio – We knew this was coming. Recently, in the dead of night, a group of right-wing Supreme Court justices struck right in the heart of Roe v. Wade. They not only effectively eliminated the right to choose in the state of Texas, but they also enabled a dystopian state where citizens spy on […]]]>

COLUMBUS, Ohio – We knew this was coming. Recently, in the dead of night, a group of right-wing Supreme Court justices struck right in the heart of Roe v. Wade.

They not only effectively eliminated the right to choose in the state of Texas, but they also enabled a dystopian state where citizens spy on each other as “bounty hunters” – earning cash rewards for pursuing their neighbors. for researching private medical procedures.

Judge Sonia Sotomayor in his dissent called the court action “astonishing” and documented how the Texas law “is clearly unconstitutional” and “ignores nearly 50 years of federal precedent.”

The court’s action in this case is flawed not only in its flawed legal analysis, but also in the reckless manner it chose to exercise its authority. This case was part of the so-called ghost folder, an accelerated procedure that does not include the long process of argumentation and information that important constitutional decisions deserve.

Soon the court will examine an equally restrictive Mississippi case and could completely undo Roe v. Wade over the next year.

In Ohio, Governor Mike DeWine signed the Heartbeat Bill. Before this law could come into force, it was suspended by a federal judge on the grounds that it would impose an “undue burden” on a woman’s right to choose.

Several of the leading Republican candidates for the US Senate in Ohio expressed their support for the Supreme Court ruling and Texas law.

JD Vance even called on Twitter for Ohio and other states to switch from copied versions of Texas law.

These candidates are out of step with the majority of Ohio voters, including a significant number of Republicans.

I’m running for the US Senate as a shameless pro-choice candidate – and I’m the only candidate among the leading Democratic and Republican candidates in this race who has always been steadfast in my support for a woman’s right to take her own. decision about her body and health care.

In the US Senate, I will do everything in my power to stop Republicans from attacking our basic constitutional rights.

That is why Congress must act immediately to codify Roe v Wade into federal law. There is already legislation in Congress to do this, called the Women’s Health Protection Act. The bill has 48 co-sponsors in the Senate, including the main sponsor, Sen. Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut, with just three votes from the majority. This highlights the stakes for Democrats to win the U.S. Senate seat vacated in Ohio by Senator Rob Portman in 2022.

Second, it is high time that we eradicated filibuster, a legislative relic of the Jim Crow era, frequently used to stop civil rights legislation.

It was wrong then and certainly should not be used now by hardline Republicans to circumvent basic constitutional rights.

Finally, we need to expand the Supreme Court and give President Joe Biden the ability to appoint pro-choice judges to fully represent the opinion of the majority of the public.

The Constitution does not dictate a specific size of the Supreme Court and leaves that authority to Congress. In fact, Congress has exercised its right to change the size of the court seven times in its history.

After Republicans’ extraordinary obstruction of denying Merrick Garland a hearing – and then forcing justices Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett – Democrats should have no hesitation in expanding the court.

As Justice Sotomayor summed it up in his dissent: “The Court should not simply ignore its constitutional obligations to protect not only the rights of women, but also the sanctity of its precedents and the rule of law.

We don’t have time to hesitate. Justice in America demands swift action to protect our basic constitutional protections.

Morgan harper, a consumer protection lawyer and community organizer, is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate from Ohio.

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* Email general questions about our Editorial Board or comments or corrections on this Opinion Column to Elizabeth Sullivan, Opinion Director, at esullivan@cleveland.com.



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Candidates express broad support for Joe Biden’s program in CD 20 Forum Part 2 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/candidates-express-broad-support-for-joe-bidens-program-in-cd-20-forum-part-2/ https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/candidates-express-broad-support-for-joe-bidens-program-in-cd-20-forum-part-2/#respond Thu, 16 Sep 2021 22:00:23 +0000 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/candidates-express-broad-support-for-joe-bidens-program-in-cd-20-forum-part-2/ Several Democratic candidates in the race for Florida’s 20th Congressional District have scrambled to exploit the president Joe biden base on Wednesday evening during the second part of a virtual candidates’ forum. Four of the six attendees expressed strong support for Biden’s Build Back Better program. While the first group of candidates for debate on […]]]>

Several Democratic candidates in the race for Florida’s 20th Congressional District have scrambled to exploit the president Joe biden base on Wednesday evening during the second part of a virtual candidates’ forum.

Four of the six attendees expressed strong support for Biden’s Build Back Better program. While the first group of candidates for debate on Wednesday evening widely presented themselves as the legitimate successor to the former representative of the United States. Alcee hastings, those of the second group of the forum were most vocal in approving the legislative program of the president.

The forum, moderated by When we all vote Palm Beach County, presented 10 candidates in total, divided into two groups. The second part of the debate featured the state representative. Bobby dubose, rformer college administrator Phil jackson, former US Department of Labor investigator Emmanuel Morel, Broward County Commissioner Barbara charief, Fformer State Representative and Palm Beach County Commissioner Priscilla taylor and the state Sen. Perry thurston.

Yolanda Cash Jackson and Nicolas johnson, both lawyers, served as moderators.

The four candidates with experience as elected officials – DuBose, Sharief, Taylor and Thurston – all signed up behind the Biden agenda.

Sharief told voters it would work to “replace aging water infrastructure as well as aging transportation infrastructure – that is, highways and roads – and get some of the money from the Build Back Better plan from Congress and President Biden. “.

Thurston agreed, arguing, “We should definitely be supporting the Biden administration’s Build Back Better program so that we can have our infrastructure needs and we can fix some of the issues affecting our community.”

Taylor made his comments in the context of the Senate filibustering, which was used to thwart Democratic pressure for some of Biden’s costliest proposals.

“We have to get rid of the filibuster,” Taylor said. “We have to work to get Joe Biden’s agenda through because these are things that really benefit District 20.”

And DuBose touted the provisions of Biden’s plan to give the federal government more control over Medicaid.

“We have the opportunity, through the Build Back Better Bill, the Reconciliation Bill, to make Medicaid coverage federal. And that way, we won’t have to deal with the state legislature, ”he said.

Florida notoriously refused to expand Medicaid under President that of Barack Obama Affordable Care Act.

Although Biden’s policies were the center of attention Wednesday night, Hastings was not absent from the proceedings, as DuBose noted up front.

“We have lost a political giant in Congressman Alcee Hastings,” said DuBose. “These are big shoes to fill.”

Hastings passed away earlier this year following a battle with cancer, triggering a special election for his seat.

Jackson and Morel, the two less experienced candidates, focused on their own visions for the district if elected. Jackson has gone through a litany of policy proposals, such as Iincrease the average amount of Social Security benefits from $ 1,500 per month to $ 2,000 per month by taxing businesses and the wealthiest Americans.

He also called for forgiving at least the first $ 50,000, if not all, of student debt, which DuBose, Morel and Thurston have also expressed support for.

“I will work with (US Sens. Chuck) Schumer and (Elisabeth) Warren in terms of college debt forgiveness, ”Jackson said. “They have a plan in place now. I will support them in the House in this regard.

Morel, meanwhile, appeared to take a more flamethrower approach on Wednesday. He spoke out against widespread corruption among elected politicians, but did not go into detail or tear up any of his current opponents by name.

“My goal is not to keep the Democratic Party in the majority. My goal is to represent the people of District 20 as best I can, ”added Morel when asked how he would reach the aisle.

When asked if he would prefer the Democrats not in power, Morel said he wanted them to maintain a majority.

“But if I had to choose between the majority Democrats and my people in District 20 – especially the poor in the Glades, Lauderhill, Pompano – I would choose the people,” he added.

Sharief, however, stressed the importance of bipartisanship – a reality Democrats may have to contend with if Republicans take control of one or both houses of Congress in 2022.

“People too often give the impression that we Democrats cannot compromise with Republicans to get what we want and get things done,” Sharief said. “We have to find common ground so that we can work across the aisle. “

Morel also focused on a push for reparations during the debate.

“We should be talking about reparations because our people are still suffering from the legacy of slavery,” he said.

He came back to the subject more than once.

“Blacks have worked for almost 300 years and have never been paid. They have to be repaid, ”Morel said. “Until that happens, black people will always be late. Our ancestors could not leave us a financial legacy because they were never paid.

DuBose’s main pitch was to compare the combativeness of last year’s legislative session with the inter-party antagonism often seen in Congress.

“When I came to Florida House in 2014 I remember the story was House, we weren’t like DC And this last session we were exactly like DC It was the worst session I have ever had. never used, ”said DuBose.

Nonetheless, he highlighted some of his own legislative successes in the last session, such as the passing of a bill limit seclusion and restraint students with disabilities.

“In the most polarizing legislative session, which was similar to DC, I did it. I worked across the aisle and passed laws, ”said DuBose.

Taylor, meanwhile, focused on her experience as an elected official to advocate with voters.

“It’s not good to take away our rights. It is not acceptable to withdraw a woman’s choice. It is not correct to say that there is no climate change, ”Taylor said. “I have served the people of Palm Beach County in a number of roles and I am ready to step forward and serve in many more.”

Taylor said improving the district’s economy would be her main focus as she highlighted the struggles in the Glades area of ​​Palm Beach County.

“I have fought for this region before. But what they really need in this field – and in District 20, really – are jobs, ”Taylor said. “What I would do is work to try to bring more jobs, better paying jobs, to the region, and also work on the economy and get businesses to buy in the region. “

Thurston said his main goals in Congress would be to address health, criminal justice and education issues.

“It’s one thing to have economic viability. But if you don’t have your health, you have nothing at all, ”Thurston said. “It has been shown during this pandemic. “

In education, he touted his previous support for the Florida public school system during his tenure in the House and Senate.

“If we want people to be able to work and get back on their feet, we need to make sure they have access to affordable education,” Thurston said. “This is why I have always been a big supporter of our public school system and why I have the endorsement of the Broward Teachers Union.”

DuBose agreed with the emphasis on public education, saying Florida Republicans, “There is an all-out attack on mainstream public education.”


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Florida Senate candidate Representative Val Demings campaigns with activist who has repeatedly compared the GOP to the Taliban https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/florida-senate-candidate-representative-val-demings-campaigns-with-activist-who-has-repeatedly-compared-the-gop-to-the-taliban/ https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/florida-senate-candidate-representative-val-demings-campaigns-with-activist-who-has-repeatedly-compared-the-gop-to-the-taliban/#respond Tue, 14 Sep 2021 19:05:25 +0000 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/florida-senate-candidate-representative-val-demings-campaigns-with-activist-who-has-repeatedly-compared-the-gop-to-the-taliban/ Representative Val Demings, a Democrat from Florida seeking her party’s nomination to overthrow Republican Senator Marco Rubio, campaigned Sunday with a progressive activist who has repeatedly compared the Republican Party to the Taliban. Amy Siskind, author of “The List: A Week-by-Week Reckoning of Trump’s First Year,” hosted Demings for a campaign event at her home […]]]>

Representative Val Demings, a Democrat from Florida seeking her party’s nomination to overthrow Republican Senator Marco Rubio, campaigned Sunday with a progressive activist who has repeatedly compared the Republican Party to the Taliban.

Amy Siskind, author of “The List: A Week-by-Week Reckoning of Trump’s First Year,” hosted Demings for a campaign event at her home in Mamaroneck, New York, on Sunday. She also hosted a virtual chat on domestic terrorism with Demings, a former police chief, in March.

RUBIO PROBABLY SUPPORTS THE DEMOCRATIC CHALLENGER DEMINGS IN 2022 “VOTED FOR SOCIALIST THINGS”

On September 1, two days after the last US troops left Afghanistan following the country’s rapid collapse against the Taliban, Siskind tweeted: “LIBERTY! (Except for women in control of their own bodies). GOP, the US Taliban. #YallQaeda”

The timing of the tweet suggests that Siskind was likely critical of the Texas Heartbeat Act, which banned abortions after six weeks of pregnancy from September 1.

This is not the first time that Siskind equates Republicans with the Taliban. She has repeatedly compared to former President Trump and the GOP on issues ranging from abortion rights to gun control.

“Oh look: the Taliban have arrived in America”, she tweeted in January 2017 with a photo of Trump and his cabinet in the Oval Office.

“Today we can say that the GOP’s ‘war on women’ was a made-up phrase,” she tweeted in March of the same year. “The Trump / GOP regime is the American version of the Taliban!

In September 2015, long before Trump’s presidency, Siskind said Republicans threatening to shut down the government at the time because of funding for Planned Parenthood were “the American version of the Taliban.”

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Demings announced in June that she was throwing her hat in the ring against several other Democrats, including former Rep. Alan Grayson, in hopes of toppling Rubio next November. She became a household name in 2020 after she said she was on the “shortlist” to be President Biden’s running mate.

The Demings campaign did not respond to Fox News’ request for comment.



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California reminder: Amid confusion over two-question ballot, Newsom’s strategy frustrates some other Democratic candidates https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/california-reminder-amid-confusion-over-two-question-ballot-newsoms-strategy-frustrates-some-other-democratic-candidates/ https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/california-reminder-amid-confusion-over-two-question-ballot-newsoms-strategy-frustrates-some-other-democratic-candidates/#respond Tue, 07 Sep 2021 19:58:00 +0000 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/california-reminder-amid-confusion-over-two-question-ballot-newsoms-strategy-frustrates-some-other-democratic-candidates/ For Newsom, a beleaguered Democratic governor who has taken heat for his pandemic restrictions as well as the state’s drought and wildfire crises, the strategy is about participation. Running in a state with almost 2-to-1 registered Democrats, Newsom’s ability to keep his job hinges on having those Democratic voters turning over their ballots. Republicans clearly […]]]>
For Newsom, a beleaguered Democratic governor who has taken heat for his pandemic restrictions as well as the state’s drought and wildfire crises, the strategy is about participation. Running in a state with almost 2-to-1 registered Democrats, Newsom’s ability to keep his job hinges on having those Democratic voters turning over their ballots. Republicans clearly have a math problem in the state, but they have enthusiasm on their side for this election, which means the pro-Newsom camp can’t afford Democratic voters to be apathetic – or even slightly confused about Golden State’s recall process. and its bilateral ballot.
Voters will be asked two questions. One, do they want to call Newsom back? and two, who do they want to replace it? The idea is that if voters feel confused about Newsom’s list of over 40 potential replacement names that are largely unknown, they could keep their ballots longer or skip the vote altogether because they don’t have time to do the “research” or make an informed decision.

So far, Newsom’s bet appears to be paying off with reams of Democratic voters returning their ballots earlier. But it infuriated some of the Democratic replacement candidates, like financial analyst and real estate investor Kevin Paffrath, who argue that it is undemocratic to convince voters that they have no other choice on the ballot. .

Paffrath and other Newsom critics believe the advice to skip question two is selfish – protecting Newsom from the embarrassment of having to face a real Democratic challenger in the recall contest or when he runs for office again of governor in 2022.

“It’s either stupid or sabotage,” said Paffrath, who has 1.7 million followers on his YouTube channel. He notes that Newsom’s team’s efforts to get Democratic voters to ignore other candidates have made it difficult for him to spark interest in his ideas to tackle the housing crisis, homelessness and the cost of living. .

“I think that’s stupid, because Californians should vote for a replacement. If Governor Newsom loses the recall and Californians haven’t rallied around a replacement Democrat, then you’ve just guaranteed a win for one. Republican, ”Paffrath said. He estimated that if the Democrats had rallied around a backup candidate within their own party, they would “very likely be able to beat any of the Republicans in contention right now.”

Although there are nine Democrats in the running, none of them is a well-known candidate, which has caused some consternation among Democrats who are not close to Newsom over the lack of an option. fallback. The fear is that Californians could vote to recall Newsom, perhaps angered by his response to the pandemic and the state’s wildfire, housing and homeless crises, but that there would be no no solid Democratic alternative to replace him. Under state law, a majority is expected to vote to remove Newsom, but if he is impeached, the replacement candidate receiving the most votes will be elected for the remainder of the governor’s term, which ends in January. 2023. This means that a new governor could be elected by simple majority vote.

It was of particular concern this summer when Tory talk show host Larry Elder, a Republican, rose to the top of the pack in the poll of replacement candidates.

Fears of a Republican victory subsided as Democrats watched Newsom successfully arm the ideological contrast between him and Elder, making the top GOP candidate a Trump sidekick and trying to race on national issues that energize the democratic base.

Democratic consultant Michael Trujillo said Newsom and the Democratic Party finally made “an informed bet” in telling their constituents not to answer question two.

“What the Newsom team was doing was preventing anyone from falling in love with any of the replacement candidates,” Trujillo said. “So if you don’t fall in love with them, then you’re dissuading anyone from voting ‘yes’ on the recall. That’s the whole piece there.”

But critics like Paffrath don’t see it that way, arguing that this year’s recall is very different from 2003, the first and last time a California governor was successfully recalled. Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger ran as moderate that year and was appointed to power after voters overthrew unpopular Democratic Governor Gray Davis.

“There’s no Arnold on the ballot this time around – there’s no one with that broad love that Arnold had when he walked in,” Paffrath said. “I think the 2003 election is their excuse, but it’s mostly out of selfishness to keep Gavin,” Paffrath said of Newsom and his team.

There are nearly two dozen replacement candidates who are not aligned with the Republican Party, but the Newsom team argues that urging voters to ignore question two is the only way to prevent a Republican takeover from California.

When Davis was recalled in 2003, there had been another well-known Democrat on the ballot. Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante had entered the race as a save option for Democrats, and was castigated for many years afterwards (right or wrong) as a spoiler. Although Bustamante said he opposed the recall at the time, conventional wisdom was that his presence in the race gave Democrats who hated Davis an excuse to vote “yes” on his recall because they could justify their call. vote by choosing another Democrat to replace him. .

In that special statewide recall election in October 2003, 55.4% of voters said they wanted to recall Davis. When asked who they wanted to replace him, 48.6% chose Schwarzenegger and 31.5% chose Bustamante.

The confusion persists

Even though data on the early return of the ballot suggests Newsom’s strategy is bearing fruit – Democrats outperforming their state registration level on Saturday – and Newsom’s chances of retaining his office are improving, according to the latest poll, many voters are still grappling with what to do with the second question.

About half of the likely voters (49%) in a Public Policy Institute of California survey published last week, either said they hadn’t decided on a potential candidate to replace him or they were skipping the second-round question altogether.

Of those who expressed a preference, 26% favored Elder while the other major replacement candidates were in single digits: former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer at 5%, businessman John Cox at 3% , Member of the National Assembly Kevin Kiley at 3% and Caitlyn Jenner at 1%. (The other potential replacement candidates have not been named, according to PPIC).

A quarter of likely voters said they would not choose anyone or vote on this issue; while 24% said they did not know.

Among Democrats, 37% said they were not favorable to anyone or would not vote; while 30% said they were not sure; and 16% said they plan to vote for someone else who is not named in the second ballot question, which could include a written response.

To clarify the confusion for voters who do not understand why they should vote for a potential candidate for removal if they have just answered a voting question saying they want to keep their governor, the Secretary of State’s office of California informed voters that the questions are separate from them and that they are not required to answer both for their vote to count.

Despite concerns from Democrats like Paffrath that Newsom and his allies’ efforts to get voters to skip the second question could deprive them of a solid backup option, some anti-recall voters said they were not. not bothered by the strategy.

“I read in the news that Newsom would rather we kick him with just a ‘no’ – don’t even put another choice,” said Democrat Lauren Wood, a 71-year-old singer-songwriter who attended. at Newsom’s rally with Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren on Saturday.

Wood said she tries not to worry that Democrats don’t have a backup for Newsom. “I hope, I pray that he is not recalled. It pisses me off that we are wasting this money on a recall when the election is a year away,” she said.

“The horrible, horrible shock took place when (Donald) Trump won. So if that happened, that (recall) could happen. I just hope the Democrats aren’t complacent about it.”


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After Summer of Legislative War, Texas Republicans, Democrats Prepare for 2022 Election Season https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/after-summer-of-legislative-war-texas-republicans-democrats-prepare-for-2022-election-season/ https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/after-summer-of-legislative-war-texas-republicans-democrats-prepare-for-2022-election-season/#respond Fri, 03 Sep 2021 22:07:30 +0000 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/after-summer-of-legislative-war-texas-republicans-democrats-prepare-for-2022-election-season/ After three legislative sessions, three quorum breaks, constant battles over pandemic mask mandates and hundreds of new laws produced by the GOP, the 2022 political season is underway. Voters in Texas will decide next year whether to keep Republicans in power or welcome Democrats out of the wilderness. Labor Day is the traditional start of […]]]>

After three legislative sessions, three quorum breaks, constant battles over pandemic mask mandates and hundreds of new laws produced by the GOP, the 2022 political season is underway.

Voters in Texas will decide next year whether to keep Republicans in power or welcome Democrats out of the wilderness. Labor Day is the traditional start of a political cycle. And while the campaign season in Texas and across the country is more perpetual than ever, the late summer vacation is a relevant marker of 2022.

Lawmakers ended a controversial legislative session on Thursday, the second convened by Governor Greg Abbott after a regular session impacted by COVID-19 restrictions. Lawmakers have yet to return to Austin, possibly this fall, to redraw the electoral boundaries of state and Congress. Their action-packed summer will serve as a rallying cry for Republicans and Democrats in a massive midterm poll with the governor’s office at the top.

Heads of state are hopeful that the redistribution will be done in time for the March primaries and that the general elections, as always, will take place in November.

Texas Republicans will enter the 2022 political season with a strong advantage over Democrats who are still on the hunt for a gubernatorial candidate, while deflecting an unfavorable national climate that could impact the midterm elections.

Abbott is running for his third term, a feat that would see him match Rick Perry as Texas’ longest-serving governor. Another re-election will put him in the running for a GOP spot on a national ticket, although just like Perry, he will be an underdog against more well-known contenders, like Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis or former President Donald Trump.

“Organizationally, we are stronger than ever, with strong supporters, volunteers and structure,” said Dave Carney, longtime chief consultant for Abbott. “We’re going to have a great crop of applicants statewide for state and local offices. It bodes well for a very strong general election.

Carney added that “the Regular Session and Special Sessions have produced some truly excellent work that Republicans will be proud to campaign on and talk about.”

Texas Governor Greg Abbott (left visits with Michael and Sara Cramer of Arlington in a waiting area after receiving their COVID-19 vaccines at a COVID-19 mass vaccination site at Esports Stadium Arlington & Expo Center in Arlington, Texas, Monday, January 11, 2021 (Tom Fox / The Dallas Morning News) (Tom Fox / Staff Photographer)

Much of the GOP’s action will occur in competitive primaries, the result of some of the higher office holders, or the more ardent party activists trying to beat the right flank office holders.

Former GOP State Senator Donald Huffines of Dallas and former Texas GOP Chairman Allen West challenge Abbott in the Republican primary. Perhaps the marquee game in the Republican realm is the main one for Attorney General, where besieged incumbent Ken Paxton seeks re-election for a third term against Land Commissioner George P. Bush and former Justice of Texas Supreme Court Eva Guzman.

Carney dismissed the challenges of Huffines and West, describing Abbott’s main battle as just a practice round for the general election.

“I would say we call it a big dress rehearsal for the general election,” Carney said. “It helps us develop our muscle memory for strong participation.”

Huffines said he was “energized” and ready to defeat Abbott.

“Everywhere I go Texans are frustrated by Greg Abbott’s failure to secure the border, give property tax relief or keep the other promises he made during the election campaign,” said Huffins. “We have already changed the course of Texas by forcing Abbott to at least recognize the open border and recently revealing the radical transgender ideology that Abbott’s state agency was pushing on the children of Texas.”

Democrats approach the 2022 season with much less optimism. At best, many of their agents see 2022 as another pivotal year, unless they find a miraculous candidate against Abbott who can raise big bucks, mobilize voters across the state, and carry a message spoken with charisma.

Party leaders hope the candidate is former US Representative Beto O’Rourke, an El Paso Democrat who in 2018 raised $ 80 million and rose to 2.6 percentage points to beat incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz. He followed that up with a 2020 loss in the Democratic presidential primary, where his progressive stance on gun control and other issues may have hurt him with many voters in Texas.

“Hell yes,” he said when asked in a presidential debate if he supported a policy of confiscating weapons like the popular AR-15 rifle.

Former Congressman Beto O'Rourke chats with U.S. Representative Eddie Bernice Johnson ahead of the start of his For the People, The Texas Drive for Democracy event on Tuesday, June 8, 2021 at Paul Quinn College in Dallas.  (Juan Figueroa / The Dallas Morning News)
Former Congressman Beto O’Rourke chats with U.S. Representative Eddie Bernice Johnson ahead of the start of his For the People, The Texas Drive for Democracy event on Tuesday, June 8, 2021 at Paul Quinn College in Dallas. (Juan Figueroa / The Dallas Morning News)(Juan Figueroa / Personal photographer)

Since then, O’Rourke has launched a popular PAC called Powered by People that focuses on voter registration and mobilization. This summer, he led a 27-mile march from Georgetown to the State Capitol to protest the controversial GOP election bill soon to be enacted. And his group recently announced a tool to facilitate voter registration.

O’Rourke has not made a decision on whether to challenge Abbott, causing heartburn for Democrats who fear they will end up without a major candidate. In 2018, Texas Democratic Party Chairman Gilberto Hinojosa attempted to recruit a prominent Democrat to run for governor, but had to settle for the lesser-known Lupe Valdez, the former Dallas County Sheriff, as a candidate for his party.

But for 2022, other legitimate candidates could emerge. Former US Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former San Antonio Mayor Julián Castro has not ruled out a candidacy for governor, one of his aides said last week.

But even with O’Rourke or Castro in the lead, Democrats face a tough national climate. The ruling party typically absorbs losses in the midterm elections, and President Joe Biden has done little to reverse that trend, analysts say.

“Our goal should not be victory. Our goal should be to improve and improve our fundamentals, ”said veteran Democratic strategist Colin Strother. “If we have a strong candidate for governor, that’s great. If we don’t, that’s fine too. Ultimately, our goals should be the same. Increase registrations, improve engagement, modernize and professionalize our campaign operations, ensure that our incumbents are truly part of the process and help the rest of the ticket.

Strother, however, added that Abbott is as vulnerable as he has ever been.

A new survey from the University of Texas / Texas Politics Project revealed Abbott’s approval rating had dropped to 41%, with 50% disapproving of his job performance. The survey found that 52% of Texans believe the state is headed in the wrong direction. The mood of those interviewed is being shaped by the resurgence of the coronavirus, according to the director of the Texas Politics Project, Jim Henson.

“There is general discontent and apathy there,” Henson said.

Strother said O’Rourke could help Democrats craft the narrative that Abbott is leading Texas in the wrong direction.

“Democrats need to be able to tell this story and we have historically struggled to do so,” Strother said. “We talk too much about our feelings and our programs. Republicans talk about values ​​and trivia because that’s how voters treat information.

But Abbott’s consultant Carney lambasted the idea that Democrats had a chance to break through in 2022. He compared Democrats to the longtime foil of the Harlem Globetrotter basketball team.

“The Democrats in Texas remind me of the generals in Washington,” he said. “For two decades, they have played their role perfectly. They are just a bunch of unlucky people who can’t get out of their own way. Now they are fighting among themselves. They have their own caucuses. They talk about putting each other first. It’s great to see Democrats in such disarray.

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton delivers remarks at the Conservative Political Action Conference Sunday, July 11, 2021 in Dallas.  (Elias Valverde II / The Dallas Morning News)
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton delivers remarks at the Conservative Political Action Conference Sunday, July 11, 2021 in Dallas. (Elias Valverde II / The Dallas Morning News)(Elias Valverde II / Personal photographer)

In other statewide general elections, Houston area accountant Mike Collier is seeking revenge against incumbent Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick. In 2018, Patrick beat Collier by five percentage points.

Former Galveston mayor Joe Jaworski and Dallas-based civil rights lawyer Lee Merritt are vying for the Democratic Party primary for attorney general in hopes of challenging Paxton, if he overtakes Bush and Guzman.

The redistribution will prepare the ground for the races in Congress and the legislative elections. With the Republicans in charge of the process, they will likely consolidate their advantage in the Texas House and Senate.

Texas will get two new seats in Congress, and it’s possible one of them will be placed in North Texas.

State Representative Matt Krause R-Fort Worth said the 2022 election cycle finds Republicans in their best political position in years.

“Over the past two election cycles, we’ve had some headwinds to overcome,” Krause said. “This time we have the wind at our back.


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Column: Why this Democrat is backing Larry Elder for governor https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/column-why-this-democrat-is-backing-larry-elder-for-governor/ https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/column-why-this-democrat-is-backing-larry-elder-for-governor/#respond Tue, 31 Aug 2021 23:28:16 +0000 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/column-why-this-democrat-is-backing-larry-elder-for-governor/ Longtime Democrat Gloria Romero really doesn’t care who she ticks off. In a state where the Democratic Party is deeply linked to teachers’ unions, the former California state senator has been a strong advocate for school choice. She believes the California Teachers Assn. and United Teachers Los Angeles are great for teachers and terrible for […]]]>

Longtime Democrat Gloria Romero really doesn’t care who she ticks off.

In a state where the Democratic Party is deeply linked to teachers’ unions, the former California state senator has been a strong advocate for school choice.

She believes the California Teachers Assn. and United Teachers Los Angeles are great for teachers and terrible for students, most of whom are black and Latino.

It’s no coincidence, she says, that more than 70 percent of California prison inmates, most of whom are also black and Latino, do not have a high school diploma.

“My mantra is, ‘If we don’t educate, we’re going to incarcerate,’” she told me Monday when we met to discuss the recall of California Governor Gavin Newsom.

During her career in Sacramento, she championed public school reform, writing a statewide “parental induction law” that allowed parents of children in poorly performing schools to demand. changes in school administration and another law which allowed students in the state’s worst performing schools to apply for the best, regardless of dividing lines.

“This law that I wrote in 2010 basically said we can identify the 1,000 worst performing schools in California and say ya basta, we got out of here.

For the record, I applaud and respect his dedication to improving public education; I do not agree with her point of view on unions and the solutions she offers.

Romero, 66, said she didn’t agree with just about everything radio talk show host Larry Elder, the apparent Republican leader, represents.

But she is so disappointed with Newsom and other California Democrats who have blocked public education reform efforts that she has become an enthusiastic supporter of seniors and has performed in commercials in both English and Spanish endorsing her quest to governor.

“The first thing was the arrogance of the ruling classes – rules for you, but not for me,” she told me when we met at her daughter’s house, Soledad Ursua, a member of the Venice Neighborhood Council. . “The French Laundry thing was SO symbolic. ”

She doesn’t mind that Newsom is privately educating her children. “But what about the rest of us?” she said. “Why can’t we have scholarships to go to the school of our choice? “

Still, she knows that supporting Elder is, as she put it, “a roll of the dice.”

“I recognize an opportunity to throw an adjustable wrench into a system that has violated our education rights and robbed us of the American Dream.”

::

Romero grew up poor in Barstow, at the end of a road so sandy that his father had to carry a shovel in his car in case they got stuck.

As Latinos, she said, “we’ve been treated like crap.” But, as his father told him, “We also pay taxes.

He got the neighbors to sign a petition demanding that the road be paved.

She felt fear when a neighbor’s son became a teacher. “I remember going to his house to bow down, ‘Oh my god, you’re going to be a teacher!'”

Her family only had one Bible and a few old books that they read and reread, but she still said, “I got the message that education is the key to the American dream. This is what gets you out of poverty. It is metamorphosis. It will change your life. “

In high school, she overheard children talking about college applications. When she asked her advisor for one, she replied, “He said it wouldn’t be necessary. Enraged, she asked for one, which he threw at her, she said.

She attended Barstow Community College, transferred to Long Beach State, and received her doctorate in psychology from UC Riverside.

If you know a little about California politics, you might know the rest: After a career as a college teacher, she ran for the California Assembly, then the State Senate, eventually becoming the first woman to lead the Democratic Senate majority, and appointed in 2010. Throughout, she has focused on educational reform – in public schools and prisons – and alienated many colleagues while throughout the process.

She says she used to walk around the Capitol with a list of failing public schools, rolled up like a diploma she rolled out at meetings. A few times during Martin Luther King Jr.’s vacation, she wrote op-eds noting that among failing schools in California, six were named after King, three after Rosa Parks and five after Cesar. Chavez.

“These revered leaders would not stand having their names affixed to schools that send more children to prison than to college,” she wrote in the San Diego Union-Tribune in 2010. “I can’t stand it either.”

::

The current recall is one in a long line of proven Republican maneuvers – and frankly an abuse of democracy – in a state where the party is vastly outnumbered by Democrats and Independents.

But it is a mistake to claim that voter disaffection does not cross party lines.

In a Emerson College / Nexstar survey conducted on July 31 and August 1, 54% of likely Latino voters said they supported the recall, a wake-up call if there is one for complacent Democrats.

I don’t understand why a viable Democratic candidate was not offered for Question 2 of the recall ballot, which asks voters to choose a successor if Newsom is defeated.

For Romero, however, it was “the classic Democratic Party strategy. You’ve basically shut down the opposition no matter how shitty your candidate is, ”she said. “I think this is a real mistake.”

In fact, she said, she wishes the Democrats offered State Treasurer Fiona Ma, Comptroller Betty Yee or even former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, whom she backed against Newsom. in 2018 and would have chosen Elder in a hot second.

But to deny a Democratic alternative on question 2 “so that they can save the prince from the French laundry?” she said. “I think the Democratic Party should be held accountable. ”

What about the concept of party unity? I asked.

“Party unity against what’s good for California?” She replied. “If I wanted party unity, I would never have gone with Barack Obama.”

In 2007, she became state co-chair of her first presidential campaign and belonged to a group called Democrats for Obama. Party officials informed her that there was no such thing.

I hope Newsom is not recalled. Elder would be a disaster for California. But maybe that is the price the ruling party is paying for letting our children down.

@AbcarianLAT



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Eric Adams raises $ 2 million for law enforcement mandate https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/eric-adams-raises-2-million-for-law-enforcement-mandate/ https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/eric-adams-raises-2-million-for-law-enforcement-mandate/#respond Sun, 29 Aug 2021 18:14:00 +0000 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/eric-adams-raises-2-million-for-law-enforcement-mandate/ Democrat Eric Adams isn’t trying to beat Republican Curtis Sliwa in the November municipal election – he’s trying to blow him out of the water. The retired NYPD captain-turned-pol has raised $ 2 million over the past 43 days, a war chest for what is essentially a skirmish with a pre-ordained winner, his supporters told […]]]>

Democrat Eric Adams isn’t trying to beat Republican Curtis Sliwa in the November municipal election – he’s trying to blow him out of the water.

The retired NYPD captain-turned-pol has raised $ 2 million over the past 43 days, a war chest for what is essentially a skirmish with a pre-ordained winner, his supporters told The Post.

Sliwa, by comparison, raised $ 200,000 in contributions.

“He’s crushing Curtis Sliwa,” City Councilor Eric Ulrich, a Queens Republican who backs the moderate Democratic candidate, told The Post.

Adams is looking to win by a margin wide enough that he can have a mandate to continue his policing agenda in a town hall with a left-wing legislature.

The Brooklyn beep increased the sum to seven figures by casting a wide net – hitting both Democrats and Republicans from Queens to the Hamptons and Martha’s Vineyard – and keeping a quick schedule of up to five events a day, sources said.

Ken Fisher, a politically connected real estate attorney, organized a recent fundraiser for Adams at Sky Bridge Terrace at 2 World Trade Center that raised $ 50,000.

Eric Adams asked Democrats and Republicans from Queens to the Hamptons and Martha’s Vineyard for funding.
James messerschmidt

Fisher said Adams didn’t take a victory in November for granted.

But the “biggest reason” for filling his campaign coffers is a term as mayor.

“It’s an opportunity for him to go out and reinforce the story and the image he wants to create for himself and to take advantage of the fact that he is a very popular commodity. People want to hear what he has to say, ”Fisher said.

Curtis Sliwa.
Eric Adams is expected to win over Guardian Angels founder and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa.
Stefan Jeremiah

A major city fundraiser said Adams could clinch a general election victory with around $ 500,000.

But it will likely increase multiples – and spend a lot of it on TV and digital ads, campaign sources say – because it’s not a big job.

“People want to give you money. You’re the new mayor, ”the fundraising veteran said of the Democrat who is widely favored to win the general election because his party outnumbered Republican voters in the city seven times.

Eric Adams.
Eric Adams is looking to win by a wide enough margin that he can have a mandate to continue his policing agenda in a town hall with a left-wing legislature.
Stephen yang

“It’s a way to keep your supporters engaged and to keep people engaged,” the fundraiser said of Adams court to donors.

“It’s also a way to get all the people who haven’t supported you to support,” he said.

Adams emerged from a crowded group of Democrats to win the June primary elections by a narrow margin against runner-up Kathryn Garcia, who served as Mayor de Blasio’s sanitation department commissioner.

Curtis Sliwa.
Curtis Sliwa’s campaign manager Robert Hornack says his candidate doesn’t need to hang out with the rich since he’s instantly recognizable on the city streets.
Stefan Jeremiah

Billionaire supermarket mogul John Catsimatidis, who organized a fundraiser in the Hamptons for Adams earlier this summer, says he hopes the mayoral candidate will use the excess money to fund more moderate members of the advice.

“If I were a candidate for mayor and I was favorite to win, I would contribute to the city councilors on my side to help govern the city. I think that’s the game plan, to make sure he has the right city council that will demand law and order in the city, ”the Republican businessman told The Post.

Adams has remained silent on fundraising events where he rubs shoulders with one percent, as he tries to maintain his self-proclaimed “blue collar mayor” image.

Eric Adams.
Eric Adams is showcasing his self-proclaimed “blue collar mayor” image as he attends fundraising events with the elite.
James keivom

Sliwa’s campaign manager Robert Hornack took to the issue to contrast the Guardian Angels founder, who he says is instantly recognizable on the city streets with his signature red beret.

“Curtis doesn’t really have to go to the Hamptons for dinner and drink,” Hornack said.

“When you go out with Curtis, you can see the energy he gives off people in the streets. People see him and run to him. It’s like walking down the street with Tom Cruise, ”Hornack said.


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Letters: Recall Strategy | What does no mean https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/letters-recall-strategy-what-does-no-mean/ https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/letters-recall-strategy-what-does-no-mean/#respond Fri, 27 Aug 2021 23:30:49 +0000 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/letters-recall-strategy-what-does-no-mean/ Send your letter to the editor via this form. Read more Letters to the Editor. Vote no to the recall,yes on Paffrath Democrats, Independents and responsible Republicans must do two things with their recall ballots: vote no on the recall, and then vote for Democratic candidate Kenneth Paffrath in the slim chance that Gov. Gavin […]]]>

Send your letter to the editor via this form. Read more Letters to the Editor.

Vote no to the recall,
yes on Paffrath

Democrats, Independents and responsible Republicans must do two things with their recall ballots: vote no on the recall, and then vote for Democratic candidate Kenneth Paffrath in the slim chance that Gov. Gavin Newsom is recalled.

The worst would be for a right-wing Republican like Larry Elder to become governor. The damage to the state could be devastating: a wave of infections and deaths in the delta, economic upheaval, a ban on local school districts from requiring masks to protect children, restricted women’s rights, increased gun violence, repealed minimum wage law, more mega-droughts, water shortages and horrific forest fires.

By voting no on the dismissal and voting for Kenneth Paffrath, the worst of all possible options will not happen: our great state is up against a disastrous right-wing Republican governor.

Governor Newsom does a great job and deserves our vote of confidence. Thank you for taking the time to vote.

Peter Wiesick
Woodland

Defective recall system
overturns majority rule

On page 6 of the Recall Election Guide for Governor, we are told: “the replacement candidate receiving the highest number of votes will be declared elected for the remainder of the governor’s term”.

Voters should be concerned about this clause. In high school civics class, we learned that a Republican form of government is both representative and majority. If the governor is removed because he was rejected by the voters, he can be replaced by a candidate receiving less than 50% of the vote, a candidate who was rejected by the majority of the voters.

There are places in the world where a few, rather than many, determine who will take the job, but this is not one of them. We the voters must insist that any replacement candidate receive more than 50% of the votes cast and that the California State Legislature correct this flawed procedure.

Edward McCaskey
Dublin

Infecting others exceeds
individual liberty

Republicans annoy me. They claim personal freedom when it comes to wearing a mask and don’t think the government should control them. This statement is from candidate Caitlin Jenner. But this logic does not extend to abortion, where they want to deny women the same right to make an even more personal decision. Both are personal and a decision that should be made by the individual, his doctor and his God. You can’t have both.

The difference is that not wearing a mask is not only personal, but can affect, and even kill, others in the presence of those who deny the science. It’s a pandemic. You can make some temporary adjustments due to the severity of the consequences. One of the characteristics of human beings is believed to be their ability to adapt to new situations. Vote NO in the recall election.

Jim cauble
Hayward

Enough false outrage
on Afghanistan

The Trump administration negotiated a withdrawal agreement with the Taliban in February 2020 that excluded the Afghan government, freed 5,000 imprisoned Taliban soldiers and set a certain date of May 1, 2021 for the final withdrawal.


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Suga’s leadership under fire as LDP candidate loses Yokohama vote https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/sugas-leadership-under-fire-as-ldp-candidate-loses-yokohama-vote/ https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/sugas-leadership-under-fire-as-ldp-candidate-loses-yokohama-vote/#respond Sun, 22 Aug 2021 15:15:29 +0000 https://shaughnessyforcongress.com/sugas-leadership-under-fire-as-ldp-candidate-loses-yokohama-vote/ Voters unleashed their pent-up frustration over the central government’s handling of the novel coronavirus by voting against close aide to Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga and former public security chief Hachiro Okonogi in Yokohama’s municipal elections on Sunday. The focus of the local elections was initially on the port city’s bid to host a casino […]]]>

Voters unleashed their pent-up frustration over the central government’s handling of the novel coronavirus by voting against close aide to Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga and former public security chief Hachiro Okonogi in Yokohama’s municipal elections on Sunday.

The focus of the local elections was initially on the port city’s bid to host a casino after Japan legalized their operation under so-called integrated resorts in 2018.

But as the highly contagious Delta variant strained the country’s medical system, putting Kanagawa Prefecture where Yokohama is located under a state of emergency along with many other prefectures, voters’ attention shifted to Okonogi’s ties to Suga, who is leading the country’s response to the coronavirus. , said political analysts.

Hachiro Okonogi, a Liberal Democratic Party candidate backed by Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga, bows to his supporters after losing to opposition-backed Takeharu Yamanaka in the Yokohama municipal elections on August 22, 2021 (Kyodo) ) == Kyodo

With what was to be an easy win under normal circumstances for Okonogi turning into a bitter defeat, Suga, who is already suffering a drop in approval ratings on his coronavirus response, will now face growing doubts among members of the party as to whether they can survive the general election under his leadership.

A Kyodo News poll in mid-August showed Suga’s cabinet approval rating to be 31.8%, the lowest for his cabinet and down from more than 60% when he launch in September.

Suga’s term as chairman of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and thus the country’s prime minister is due to expire on September 30, and a general election is also looming as the term of House of Representatives members expire on October 21. .

Its previous scenario had been to vaccinate the population against the new coronavirus as quickly as possible, to organize successful Olympic Games to stimulate public opinion and to dissolve the most powerful chamber of parliament for general elections after the end of the Games. Tokyo Paralympics. on September 5 and win the leadership race of the LDP without question.

But the vaccination of those who wish to receive vaccines is not yet complete, and Suga has been criticized for allowing organizers to hold the Tokyo Olympics as planned as new cases of the coronavirus have increased during the Olympic period.

And the latest election result has likely erased the scenario envisioned by Suga, said Koichi Nakano, professor of political science at Sophia University.

“With Mr. Okonogi’s defeat, it is likely that measures to replace Mr. Suga, organize a full-fledged leadership race for the LDP and prevent Mr. Suga from dissolving the lower house will emerge,” Nakano said.

“His close associate, Mr. Okonogi, defeated in the elections on the grounds of Mr. Suga, even after changing his stance against integrated resorts, will certainly fuel the opinion of the PLD lawmakers that they cannot fight the elections. general under Mr. Suga, “he said.

On the other hand, Takeharu Yamanaka’s victory in the LDP stronghold gives a boost to the main opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, which supported him along with the Japanese Communist Party and the Social Democratic Party, while by reassuring them that their efforts to unite are paying off.

Still, Toru Yoshida, professor of political science at Doshisha University, said the opposition lacks enough momentum to bring about a change of government in the next general election.

“The ruling parties and the opposition are likely to enter the general election on a low note,” Yoshida said.

Dissolving the lower house in early September for a general election has already become difficult for Suga after his government was forced to extend the COVID-19 state of emergency until September 12 following the resurgence of the virus.

Several senior administration officials have said Suga, who has repeatedly said he places the coronavirus response as a top priority, will not dissolve the lower house while the state of emergency is still in place.

Now Yokohama’s electoral defeat, combined with the low Cabinet approval rating, is sure to spark more calls among LDP lawmakers to hold the leadership race ahead of the general election rather than after to demand a change of leader.

“Many PLD lawmakers do not want to stand in the general election of Prime Minister Suga. If we postpone the leadership elections, the party will not last, ”said a PLD source.

The LDP is expected to hold its presidential election with a campaign that will start on September 17 and vote on September 29, but the question of who can be an alternative to Suga remains.

Sanae Takaichi, known as a conservative PLD member and close to former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, has already expressed his intention to run for president when his schedule is decided on Thursday, while PLD political leader Hakubun Shimomura also expressed interest. Race.

Supporters of Hachiro Okonogi, a Liberal Democratic Party candidate backed by Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga, are pictured after the former chairman of the National Public Security Commission was defeated in the Yokohama municipal elections on August 22, 2021. (Kyodo) == Kyodo

But whether they will be able to collect the signatures of the 20 supporting members needed to run for office remains unclear. Takaichi does not belong to any faction within the party, while the largest faction in the party to which Shimomura belongs is led by Hiroyuki Hosoda, who has previously expressed support for Suga.

Former Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida, who ran in the last leadership contest against Suga, is also seen as a potential candidate.

While there is still a small window for Suga to dissolve the lower house between the potential end of the state of emergency on September 12 and the campaign’s planned start on September 17, experts say Suga would likely aim to delay the election for as long as possible, given that approval ratings have shifted along with the coronavirus situation.

Doshisha’s Yoshida said the only chance Suga will gain approval is to wait and see how vaccinations against the novel coronavirus progress and when the number of cases of infection declines.

“The number of coronavirus cases will not continue to increase indefinitely. It will decrease at some point, which will be the time to call an election,” Yoshida said.

“The longer Suga waits, the greater the possibility of the numbers going down, and that’s when he has to try his luck at survival.”


Associated coverage:

The opposition wins the election of the mayor of Yokohama at the expense of Suga



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